President Donald Trump during a ceremony presenting the Presidential Medal of Freedom to wrestler Dan Gable in the Oval Office of the White House on Dec. 7, 2020. (Saul Loeb/AFP via Getty Images)
That could deliver liberals a win and an ongoing majority in Wisconsin, and/or a strong performance in the Florida races.
Even so, Republicans are favored to win those two Florida races, and a cash injection from Elon Musk has kept the Wisconsin race competitive.
Whatever happens, it is too early to draw conclusions about either party’s long-term prospects. The electorates that decide the midterms and beyond look different and won’t cast ballots for more than a year and a half.
WISCONSIN SUPREME COURT REJECTS DEMOCRAT AG'S ATTEMPT TO BLOCK ELON MUSK'S $1M GIVEAWAY TO VOTERS
Wisconsin Supreme Court candidates Brad Schimel and Susan Crawford debate, March 12, 2025, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Morry Gash)
Counties to watch
In any statewide election in Wisconsin, Democrats tend to win by large margins in the populous counties of Milwaukee and Dane (home of Madison), while Republicans win by wide margins in the smaller, more rural counties that stretch across most of the state.
Republican candidates also tend to rely on strong showings in the WOW counties of Waukesha, Ozaukee and Washington in suburban Milwaukee, which help counter Democratic advantages in urban areas.
Results
Expect first reported results shortly after 9 p.m. ET, when polls close.
Election night tabulation ended at 2:30 a.m. ET in the 2023 spring election and at 5:47 a.m. ET in the November general election, both with more than 98% of the total vote counted.
Recounts
Recounts are not automatic in Wisconsin, but a trailing candidate may request one if the winning vote margin is less than a percentage point.
National security advisor Mike Waltz and President Donald Trump (Getty Images)
1st Congressional District
The 1st Congressional District borders Alabama on the Gulf Coast in the westernmost part of the Florida panhandle. It is home to both Naval Air Station Pensacola and Eglin Air Force Base. The district is among the most reliably Republican areas of the state.
Republican Jimmy Patronis and Democrat Gay Valimont are running to replace Rep. Matt Gaetz, who resigned from the House last year.
Patronis is the state’s chief financial officer. He received Trump’s endorsement in a crowded primary. Valimont is a gun control activist.
Trump received about 68% of the district vote in 2024, slightly outperforming the 66% Gaetz received in his re-election bid.
President Donald Trump speaks to the media in the Oval Office at the White House. (Reuters/Evelyn Hockstein)
Counties to watch
6th Congressional District
Trump and Waltz performed best in Putnam County, where they both received about 74% of the vote. Their worst county in comparison was Volusia, where Trump received 58% and Waltz received about 60%. Waltz slightly outperformed Trump in every county in the district.
1st Congressional District
The part of Walton County that falls within the 1st District is the most reliably Republican of the four counties. Escambia is the least Republican in comparison, although Trump and Gaetz still received 59% and 57% of the county vote, respectively.
Results
Expect first reported results in the 6th District shortly after 7 p.m. ET. The last vote update of the night in the 2024 general election was just before midnight, with about 99% of the vote counted.
In the 1st District, expect results shortly after 8 p.m. ET. The 2024 general election night tabulation ended at 1:33 a.m. ET with about 99% of the total vote counted.
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Recounts
Machine recounts in Florida are automatic if the vote margin is 0.5% of the total vote or less. If the machine recount results in a vote margin of 0.25% of the total vote or less, a manual recount of overvotes and undervotes is required.
The Associated Press contributed to this report.
Rémy Numa is the lead political affairs specialist for Fox News Channel. You can follow him on Twitter: @remynuma.
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/election-day-wisconsin-florida-what-watch-conservatives-face-statewide-electoral-test