Conservatives are urging GOP leadership not to agree to limiting DOGE in a spending bill. (Getty Images)
THEME OF TRUMP’S ADDRESS TO CONGRESS REVEALED
Let’s first explain government funding.
The deadline for Congress to avoid a government shutdown is 11:59:59 p.m. ET on Friday, March 14. The House and Senate must figure out how to either re-up all current funding at existing levels for a short time period – or face a shutdown. The other option – which is utterly unrealistic at this point – is for the House and Senate to pass all 12 of the annual spending bills which run the government. The House approved several of these last year, but the Senate hasn’t OK'd any of those bills.
Keep in mind, these are spending measures for fiscal year 2025. They were due Oct. 1, so both Democrats and Republicans have stumbled in this effort.
Congress finally approved a "skinny" stopgap spending package just before Christmas to keep the lights on. That was after adopting another interim measure to avoid a government shutdown last Oct. 1 – the start of fiscal year 2025.
What does all of this mean? Well, for starters, Congress is already running behind funding the government for fiscal year 2026 – which begins this coming Oct. 1. Lawmakers are trapped on a vicious treadmill. That’s because it’s been years since Congress finished its bills on time. Congress didn’t approve the final spending plan for fiscal year 2024 until April of last year, seven months and change after the deadline.
House Speaker Mike Johnson, R-LA, and President Donald Trump are signaling they’re good with another "year-long" Continuing Resolution, or CR in Congress-speak. That just renews the funding at existing levels through the fall. House Appropriations Committee Chairman Tom Cole, R-Okla., says to expect text of a CR over the weekend.
Senate Majority Leader John Thune. (Getty Images)
Note that entitlements and mandatory spending comprise about 65% of every dollar spent by the government. Earlier, I wrote about how the Pentagon consumes more than 50% of discretionary spending. That’s a pittance compared to what goes out the door for entitlements. And that’s why it’s such a challenge for Republicans to cut spending – and cut taxes – without blowing an even bigger hole in the already yawning deficit chasm.
But mechanically, here’s what must happen next.
The House and Senate approved different budget frameworks. The House plan went all the way with major spending cuts and a renewal of the 2017 Trump tax cuts. The Senate version was leaner – focused on border security.
Here’s the most important thing I will write in this column.
The only reason Republicans want to develop a budget blueprint is so they can sidestep a Senate filibuster when it comes to advancing their final piece of legislation. It’s about the math. Republicans only have 53 Senate seats. Sixty votes are required to overcome a filibuster. So while Republicans might be able to thread the needle and approve the plan with their narrow majority in the House, moving it through the Senate is tough.
Unless…
They can avoid a filibuster.
President Donald Trump listens during a Cabinet meeting at the White House in Washington, D.C., on Wednesday, Feb. 26, 2025. (Pool via AP)
The government technically hit the debt ceiling in January. But via a mechanism the Treasury Department calls "extraordinary measures," the government can delay an actual drop-dead date for a few months. That means the true debt ceiling deadline probably comes in April or May.
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So there you have it. Four distinct fiscal issues facing Congress right now: government funding, a "budget" for the "reconciliation" process to avoid a filibuster, President Trump’s policy agenda, and a race to avoid a debt ceiling collision.
None are directly related, but yet all intertwined. The only thing Congress must do is fund the government and wrestle with the debt ceiling. And an imbroglio over those issues could sidetrack efforts to finalize the budget framework and move the president’s policy agenda.
Chad Pergram currently serves as a senior congressional correspondent for FOX News Channel (FNC). He joined the network in September 2007 and is based out of Washington, D.C.
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/reporters-noteboook-sorting-out