Trump ahead of Biden in these key swing states: Poll

Former President Trump has the edge in five of the six key battleground states where he was narrowly edged by President Biden four years ago, according to a new poll.

Former President Trump, the presumptive Republican presidential nominee, speaks at a campaign rally in Wildwood, New Jersey, on Saturday, May 11, 2024. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke)

The 2024 rematch between the Democratic president and his Republican predecessor was closer among the narrower pool of likely voters. Trump held the advantage in five states - Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin - with Biden edging ahead in Michigan.

The surveys' findings were similar when third-party and independent candidates were added to the mix, including Democrat turned independent White House contender Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 

The longtime environmental activist and high-profile vaccine skeptic, who is the scion of the nation's most storied political dynasty, was grabbing around 10% support across the six states. The polls suggested Kennedy was drawing roughly equally from both Biden and Trump.

POLLS INDICATE DEADLOCKED RACE WITH SIX MONTHS UNTIL ELECTION DAY

The new surveys, conducted April 28 through May 9, come as Trump makes history as the first current or former president to stand trial in a criminal case. Additionally, they were also conducted amid a massive ad blitz by the Biden campaign across the key battleground states.

However, "the polls offer little indication that any of these developments have helped Mr. Biden, hurt Mr. Trump or quelled the electorate’s discontent," the New York Times writes.

President Biden, left, and former President Trump. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon / Curtis Means/DailyMail.com via AP, Pool)

However, the president remains in contention, as the surveys point to Biden holding ground with older voters and White voters, whom the polls highlight "are much less likely to demand fundamental changes to the system and far likelier to say that democracy is the most important issue for their vote."

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Abortion remains a potential problem for Trump. Nearly two-thirds of voters questioned in polls say that abortion should always or mostly be legal, including 44% of those supporting the former president.

Over 4,000 voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin were questioned in the polls, with an overall sampling error for all respondents of plus or minus 1.8 percentage points. The margin of error in the six states ranged from plus or minus 3.6 to 4.6 percentage points.

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