Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem speaks during a roundtable in the State Dining Room of the White House on Wednesday Oct. 8, 2025. A new report this week from economists indicated net negative migration for the first time in decades amid Trump administration enforcement. (Demetrius Freeman/The Washington Post via Getty Images)
The report also said, "Though deportations and other exits receive more media attention, a slowdown in new arrivals, especially via humanitarian parole and refugee programs and across the Southwest border, has a bigger effect on reducing migration flows in 2025."
"The first year of the second Trump administration has seen dramatic changes in immigration policy, resulting in a sharp slowdown in net migration to the United States," according to the Brookings Institution. "We expect the pattern of restrictive policy and increased enforcement to continue or intensify through the coming year."
ICE agents stand at the scene where a woman was fatally shot earlier in the day during an enforcement operation on Jan. 7, 2026, in Minneapolis, Minn. (Christopher Juhn/Anadolu via Getty Images)
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"Our estimate of net migration of –295,000 to –10,000 for 2025 differs from some other prominent estimates. The most recent version of the Congressional Budget Office demographic estimates, released in January 2026, suggests net migration of around +400,000 for 2025," the Brookings Institution report also said. "The CBO estimate includes fewer deportations than our estimate, and CBO also assumes voluntary out-migration falls in response to increased enforcement activity, whereas we assume it rises."
Greg Norman is a reporter at Fox News Digital.
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/us-sees-net-negative-migration-first-time-decades-amid-trump-admin-enforcement-economists-say