New Jersey female voters overwhelmingly favored Mikie Sherrill over her GOP opponent Jack Ciattarelli. (Fox News)
While Republicans have made gains among young men in recent elections, younger men in New Jersey sided with the Democrat this time.
Representative Mikie Sherrill, Democratic gubernatorial candidate for New Jersey, during an election night event in East Brunswick, New Jersey, US, on Tuesday, Nov. 4, 2025. (Michael Nagle/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
Both candidates benefitted from the support of over 9 in 10 voters among their respective parties. Among the crucial swing group of independents, Sherrill was favored by just over half. Additional support from 6 in 10 self-described moderates provided her with the boost needed to win statewide.
About half of New Jersey Republicans identified as MAGA, and they nearly all threw their support behind Ciattarelli.
For 1 in 10 voters, this was the first time they voted in a gubernatorial election, and they backed Sherrill by 2 to 1.
Despite Sherrill’s Navy background, over half of military households voted for Ciattarelli. Among union households, Sherrill narrowly held on to Democratic support, taking just over half.
DEMOCRAT MIKIE SHERRILL WINS NEW JERSEY GOVERNOR RACE, KEEPS STATE BLUE AGAINST REPUBLICAN CHALLENGE
By a 2 to 1 margin, more voters have a negative view of how things are going in the country today than a positive view. These voters strongly broke for Ciattarelli.
Even with Trump off the ballot, his presence still played a defining role in the election. About 7 in 10 Sherrill supporters said their vote was to send a message of opposition to President Trump, while about a quarter of Ciattarelli voters said their vote was in support of the president.
Nearly a third of New Jersey voters said the economy was an important issue for the state. (Fox News)
Nearly all voters said property taxes were at least a minor problem where they live, and 7 in 10 called it a major problem.
New Jerseyans said their biggest motivator in the gubernatorial election was bringing change. (Fox News)
The accusations about Sherrill’s Naval Academy graduation failed to dissuade voters from supporting her, as voters who prioritized honesty favored Sherrill by more than 40 points. More voters thought she ran a mostly fair campaign than thought Ciattarelli’s campaign was mostly fair. Sherrill also benefitted from a net-positive favorability rating, with over half of Garden State voters rating her favorably. The impact of a negative campaign cycle could have hurt Ciattarelli — about half of voters felt he ran a mostly unfair campaign and have an unfavorable view of the Republican.
Only around half of New Jersey voters thought Jack Ciattarelli's campaign against Mikie Sherill was fair. (Fox News)
By a 2 to 1 margin, more Sherrill voters said their vote was in support of their candidate than against their opponent. Ciattarelli voters were even more enthusiastic, with 8 in 10 voting in support of the Republican.
Among the late-deciding voters, Sherrill was favored by almost 7 in 10.
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Term-limited Democratic Gov. Phil Murphy’s job rating is underwater as he prepares to leave office. After over a decade of Democratic leadership, roughly 1 in 5 Democrats disapprove of the job he’s done as governor. Independents have mixed feelings, with about equal numbers approving as disapproving, and nearly all Republicans disapprove.
METHODOLOGY
The Fox News Voter Poll is based on a survey conducted by SSRS with New Jersey registered voters. This survey was conducted October 22 to November 4, 2025, concluding at the end of voting on Election Day. The poll combines data collected from registered voters online and by telephone with data collected in-person from Election Day voters at 30 precincts per state. In the final step, all the pre-election survey respondents and Election Day exit poll respondents are combined by adjusting the share of voting mode (absentee, early-in-person, and Election Day) based on the estimated composition of the state final electorate. Once votes are counted, the survey results are also weighted to match the overall results in each state. Results among all more than 4,400 New Jersey voters interviewed have an estimated margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2.1 percentage points, including the design effects. The error margin is larger among subgroups.
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-poll-new-jersey-governorship-remains-democratic-sherrill-win